March Madness
College Basketball
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/14964029/first-look-all-68-march-madness-teams-2016-ncaa-tournament
Vegas Insider
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/
Injuries
http://www.donbest.com/ncaab/injuries/
Bracket
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/tournament/bracket
Bracket Gif
http://espn.go.com/i/ncaa/basketball/ncaatourney16/ncaam_bracket_blank.gif
Bracket
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/tournament/bracket
NCAA tournament field
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/14964029/first-look-all-68-march-madness-teams-2016-ncaa-tournament
Bracket
http://espn.go.com/i/ncaa/basketball/ncaatourney16/ncaam_bracket_blank.pdf
2016 NCAA tournament coverage
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/page/ncaatournament/2016-ncaa-tournament-news-march-madness
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- not sure
when in doubt go with underdog
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +6.5
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/bpi?id=161&year=2016
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/bpi?id=526&year=2016
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Vanderbilt
+3 underdog
Wichita
State
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Holy
Cross +3 underdog
Southern
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Tulsa
+3 underdog
Michigan
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*Math Sports 03-15-2016
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/83855124/316/MS.pdf
JOHN 17
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/83855124/316/J17.pdf
JOHN 1 : 1-18
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/83855124/316/J118.pdf
Math Sports Science
MSS
+ 0.5 can be significant in Soccer
Teams play for draw
Non Linear
every point ( goal ) does Not have equal value
+ 1 goal can be significant in Soccer
it's like two TDs in NFL football
___
European Hockey
+1.5 may be the magic number
it's easier to score in hockey
3-2
21 - 14
it's like a TD in NFL
___
it's supply an demand
how many games offer the magic number underdog
if it's Not offered
then you have lower the data filter
___
another math error
converting a Point spread game
like College Football and College Basketball
into a MoneyLine
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http://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/
All Underdogs 50.05%
http://www.thelogicalapproach.com/moneylines.htm
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-people-bet-on-the-favorite-even-when-the-spread-favors-the-underdog/
In 2004, University of Chicago economist Steven Levitt identified the fact that point spreads aren’t set like typical market prices, by equating relative levels of supply and demand. Instead, bookmakers set the margin to make the chance of the favorite covering the spread to be roughly 50 percent. Levitt speculated that bookmakers substantially improve their profits by biasing the spread very slightly against the favorite. This approach is profitable for bookmakers in part because, despite facing virtually even odds, people are much more likely to bet on the favorite than the underdog.
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http://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/nfl/how-often-has-each-nfl-team-covered-double-digit-point-spreads.aspx
How Often Has Each NFL Team Covered Double-digit Point Spreads?
http://freakonomics.com/2009/01/02/whats-with-the-home-underdogs-in-the-nfl/
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Prediction
Predicting the Next game in the Future
ideally
you have Artificial Intelligence
mimic every condition
every individual player and coach
E.A. Video game
and play it out 100,000 times
___
in Poker
in general
make decision
by projecting out 100 iterations
___
NBA
weak effort
___
NHL
Skill and Will
Extraordinary Effort - the Team will win
If one team gives Extraordinary Effort - will Win
average / good effort
let down game / sub effort
extra ordinary effort
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Healthy Fear
Humility
___
NBA NFL
Sure Thing
It's a Trap
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keibler
founder and CEO of Future Ads
online advertising
app distribution
gaming monetization
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NBA
- No bet
- One bet
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