Thursday, January 14, 2016

___

___

Statistically Speaking

First half NHL awards

Carolina Hurricanes

Ekman-Larsson elevates play

Scott Cullen



espn

FanGraphs made their first projection of the standings for 2016




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http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/14576208/which-star-players-expected-play-nfl

F

http://www.thehockeynews.com

F

http://www.nhl.com/ice/blogpost.htm?id=44823&navid=nhl:topheads

Carl Soderberg, C, Colorado Avalanche

DraftKings price: $4,800


Mike Green, D, Detroit Red Wings

DraftKings price: $4,500

Parayko  4800

David Perron, W, Anaheim Ducks
DraftKings price: $4,100


http://www.nhl.com/ice/news.htm?id=798668

D-men scoring since Dec. 20
Player, Team
G
A P
Kris Letang, PIT 5 11 16
Duncan Keith, CHI 2 12 14
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, ARI 6 7 13
Brent Burns, SJS 6 7 13
Mark Giordano, CGY 3 10 13
Marc-Edouard Vlasic, SJS 3 9 12
Erik Karlsson, OTT 1 10 11

Sharks' Vlasic underrated

Nick Holden, Colorado Avalanche
Nick Holden, Colorado Avalanche
Nick Holden, Colorado Avalanche

STl
POS PLAYER OPP FPPG SALARY  
C Paul Stastny StL@Det 2.8 $4,900 swap out
C Robby Fabbri StL@Det 1.9 $3,300 swap out
W Ty Rattie StL@Det 1.9 $2,600 swap out
W  

Jori Lehtera  StL@Det 1.7 $3,700 swap out
 
D Colton Parayko DTD StL@Det 2.8 $4,800 swap out


Dmitrij Jaskin
#23 RW6' 3", 211 lbsSt. Louis Blues
BornMar 23, 1993 in Omsk, Russia
Age22
Drafted2011: 2nd Rnd, 41st by STL
Experience3 years






Nick Holden  #2
Colorado Avalanche  Defenseman
3800


ALEX TANGUAY Colorado Avalanche | #40 LW
DraftKings Salary: $3,700


CARL SODERBERG Colorado Avalanche | #34 C
DraftKings Salary: $4,800



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Line_(ice_hockey)


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HAMPUS LINDHOLM Anaheim Ducks | #47 D
DraftKings Salary: $4,000


Getty Images
JAKOB SILFVERBERG Anaheim Ducks | #33 RW
DraftKings Salary: $4,100

SAM REINHART Buffalo Sabres | #23 C

DraftKings Salary: $3,800



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https://rotogrinders.com/lessons/basic-50-50-and-double-up-strategy-174233

Size of the Double-Up

One of the biggest advantages of playing in double-ups is being able to control the amount of variance that you experience in your leagues. Since you only have to beat half of the field, you won’t have to worry about one or two teams that have a high score, all you have to worry about is how your team is playing compared to the rest of the field.
Controlling variance is important is DFS and when it comes to the size of the double-up, you can control the amount of variance even more. The larger the size of the double-up, the less variance you are going to have because your team will be compared to a much larger sample size. For example, if you join a 10-man double-up, you could potentially get a bad draw and get stuck against 7 opponents that put up really high scores that night. However, if you join a 200-man double up, there are going to 199 other opponents that you are competing against and you will have a much better idea of where your team stacks compared to the average.


Rule #4: Join 50/50s With Larger-Than-Average Fields

A lot of one-week fantasy football players gravitate toward small double-ups (those with 10 or fewer entrants). They assume that competing against a smaller field increases their chances of winning.


http://www.dailyfantasysports101.com/5050-strategy-for-draftkings-7-rules-to-win/




F

http://espn.go.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/14614005/ultimate-super-bowl-50-preview

MiT Black Jack team

55%  x Infinity
consider juice cut

55%  x 100,000

iterations

this decreases risk of ruin
poker tournament
risk vs reward
Fantasy - going deep can hurt you
it's a gift
quick analysis
remember NHL hockey 2013




Underdogs

1 chip
2 chip

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Blackjack_Team

While the MIT team's card counting techniques can give players an overall edge of about 2 percent, some of the MIT team's methods have been established as gaining players an overall edge of about 4 percent.[citation needed] In his interview, Chang reported that the MIT team had difficulty attaining such edges in actual play, and their overall results had been best with straight card counting.

http://blackjacklife.com/blackjack-legends-bill-kaplan-and-j-p-massar/

http://www.inc.com/magazine/20080801/luck-is-for-losers.html

http://www.rickross.com/living-dream-retrospective-mit-blackjack-team/

+150
3/2  BlackJack
if you are 50/50  

you make a profit

If you doing +150
you just need to be right 50 percent of the time

Default is Underdog


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hockey microstat

https://jenlc13.wordpress.com

http://www.broadstreethockey.com/2015/12/30/10689880/philadelphia-flyers-microstat-tracking-through-december-27

http://statsportsconsulting.com/ottanalytics/

http://www.topix.com/hockey-players/shayne-gostisbehere

http://philadelphia.suntimes.com/philadelphia-flyers/7/96/241362/philadelphia-flyers-microstat-tracking-through-december-27


http://mmajunkie.com/2016/02/ufc-fight-night-82-staff-picks-which-4-got-unanimous-nods-on-main-card-in-las-vegas-1


http://www.foxsports.com/ufc/story/hendricks-vs-thompson-ufc-fight-night-crystal-ball-predictions-020416


http://fansided.com/2016/02/04/ufc-fight-night-hendricks-vs-thompson-preview-predictions/

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2016/2/5/10925192/ufc-fight-night-hendricks-vs-thompson-staff-picks-and-predictions

ufc predictions

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2613912-ufc-fight-night-82-predictions-main-card-staff-picks

http://espn.go.com/mma/story/_/id/14720246/johny-hendricks-vs-stephen-thompson

http://blogs.theprovince.com/2016/02/05/ufc-fight-night-hendricks-vs-thompson-punch-drunk-predictions/

http://www.ufc.com/news/the-Downes-Side-Fight-Night-Las-Vegas-predictions?id=

http://www.mmamania.com/2016/2/5/10918490/ufc-fight-night-82-predictions-preview-analysis-free-picks-hendricks-thompson-mma

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/pitching/_/sort/stolenBases/type/opponent-batting



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Friday, January 8, 2016

NHL

NHL

01-07-2016

_____________________

Washington Capitals  40 games played

_____________________

Win Percentage
01-07-2016
Washington Capitals  40 games played

Win Percentage %
http://espn.go.com/nhl/standings/_/sort/wins/group/1



































_____________________

ROW   Regulation and Overtime Wins

ROW   Win Percentage   ( No shoot-out )
01-07-2016
Washington Capitals  40 games played

ROW   Win Percentage %
http://espn.go.com/nhl/standings/_/sort/winsExcludingShootout/group/1




































_____________________

Goals Scored / per game
OFFENSE
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
1Dallas431461123.402.600.7932.229.203.0.911389390-1
2Washington40126853.152.131.0330.528.601.9.9263453441
3Boston381161043.052.740.3231.129.102.0.90650344261
4NY Rangers401171032.932.580.3528.330.1-01.8.91436833038
5Colorado411171142.852.780.0728.331.2-02.9.911394424-30
6Montreal421191032.832.450.3831.127.603.5.911370392-22
7Arizona401121242.803.10-0.3027.131.0-03.9.90042839236
8Chicago421161002.762.380.3830.929.601.3.920300344-44
9Ottawa411131192.762.90-0.1528.033.3-05.3.913484497-13
10NY Islanders411111012.712.460.2429.930.6-00.7.919347358-11
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
11Minnesota40108952.702.380.3329.029.2-00.2.919283361-78
12Florida41109872.662.120.5428.029.5-01.5.928386418-32
Winnipeg411091152.662.80-0.1529.230.2-00.9.90749744552
14San Jose381011082.662.84-0.1830.328.202.1.899370404-34
15Los Angeles40105872.632.180.4532.428.603.8.92442836959
16Calgary401041232.603.08-0.4828.929.2-00.4.895310368-58
17Toronto391001012.562.59-0.0331.131.2-00.1.9173213138
18Nashville401021052.552.63-0.0831.326.704.6.902422424-2
19Columbus411031302.513.17-0.6628.930.5-01.7.89654449351
20Detroit411021052.492.56-0.0728.530.6-02.1.916345357-12
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
21Tampa Bay4099952.482.380.1028.328.4-00.1.916353384-31
22St. Louis431041062.422.47-0.0530.729.001.7.91541537441
23Edmonton41991222.412.98-0.5629.331.5-02.2.905309315-6
24Vancouver41971132.372.76-0.3929.230.6-01.4.9104704655
25Pittsburgh4093962.332.40-0.0832.031.700.3.924337364-27
26Carolina41941132.292.76-0.4629.726.003.7.894256329-73
27Buffalo40911072.282.68-0.4029.929.200.7.908263332-69
28New Jersey4192932.242.27-0.0224.828.3-03.5.92041439222
29Philadelphia39861052.212.69-0.4930.232.4-02.2.91749442470
30Anaheim3972921.852.36-0.5129.827.502.3.91450140299


_____________________

Goals Allowed / per game
Defense
GA = goals allowed = goals against
http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/scoring/sort/avgGoalsAgainst/order/false



RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
1Florida41109872.662.120.5428.029.5-01.5.928386418-32
2Washington40126853.152.131.0330.528.601.9.9263453441
3Los Angeles40105872.632.180.4532.428.603.8.92442836959
4New Jersey4192932.242.27-0.0224.828.3-03.5.92041439222
5Anaheim3972921.852.36-0.5129.827.502.3.91450140299
6Tampa Bay4099952.482.380.1028.328.4-00.1.916353384-31
Minnesota40108952.702.380.3329.029.2-00.2.919283361-78
8Chicago421161002.762.380.3830.929.601.3.920300344-44
9Pittsburgh4093962.332.40-0.0832.031.700.3.924337364-27
10Montreal421191032.832.450.3831.127.603.5.911370392-22
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
11NY Islanders411111012.712.460.2429.930.6-00.7.919347358-11
12St. Louis431041062.422.47-0.0530.729.001.7.91541537441
13Detroit411021052.492.56-0.0728.530.6-02.1.916345357-12
14NY Rangers401171032.932.580.3528.330.1-01.8.91436833038
15Toronto391001012.562.59-0.0331.131.2-00.1.9173213138
16Dallas431461123.402.600.7932.229.203.0.911389390-1
17Nashville401021052.552.63-0.0831.326.704.6.902422424-2
18Buffalo40911072.282.68-0.4029.929.200.7.908263332-69
19Philadelphia39861052.212.69-0.4930.232.4-02.2.91749442470
20Boston381161043.052.740.3231.129.102.0.90650344261
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
21Vancouver41971132.372.76-0.3929.230.6-01.4.9104704655
Carolina41941132.292.76-0.4629.726.003.7.894256329-73
23Colorado411171142.852.780.0728.331.2-02.9.911394424-30
24Winnipeg411091152.662.80-0.1529.230.2-00.9.90749744552
25San Jose381011082.662.84-0.1830.328.202.1.899370404-34
26Ottawa411131192.762.90-0.1528.033.3-05.3.913484497-13
27Edmonton41991222.412.98-0.5629.331.5-02.2.905309315-6
28Calgary401041232.603.08-0.4828.929.2-00.4.895310368-58
29Arizona401121242.803.10-0.3027.131.0-03.9.90042839236
30Columbus411031302.513.17-0.6628.930.5-01.7.89654449351

_____________________

GOAL  DIFFERENTIAL
Goals Scored - Goals Allowed = Goal Differential




































_____________________

Shots / per game

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/scoring/sort/avgShots


1Los Angeles40105872.632.180.4532.428.603.8.92442836959
2Dallas431461123.402.600.7932.229.203.0.911389390-1
3Pittsburgh4093962.332.40-0.0832.031.700.3.924337364-27
4Nashville401021052.552.63-0.0831.326.704.6.902422424-2
5Boston381161043.052.740.3231.129.102.0.90650344261
6Toronto391001012.562.59-0.0331.131.2-00.1.9173213138
7Montreal421191032.832.450.3831.127.603.5.911370392-22
8Chicago421161002.762.380.3830.929.601.3.920300344-44
9St. Louis431041062.422.47-0.0530.729.001.7.91541537441
10Washington40126853.152.131.0330.528.601.9.9263453441
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
11San Jose381011082.662.84-0.1830.328.202.1.899370404-34
12Philadelphia39861052.212.69-0.4930.232.4-02.2.91749442470
13NY Islanders411111012.712.460.2429.930.6-00.7.919347358-11
14Buffalo40911072.282.68-0.4029.929.200.7.908263332-69
15Anaheim3972921.852.36-0.5129.827.502.3.91450140299
16Carolina41941132.292.76-0.4629.726.003.7.894256329-73
17Edmonton41991222.412.98-0.5629.331.5-02.2.905309315-6
18Winnipeg411091152.662.80-0.1529.230.2-00.9.90749744552
19Vancouver41971132.372.76-0.3929.230.6-01.4.9104704655
20Minnesota40108952.702.380.3329.029.2-00.2.919283361-78
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
21Columbus411031302.513.17-0.6628.930.5-01.7.89654449351
22Calgary401041232.603.08-0.4828.929.2-00.4.895310368-58
23Detroit411021052.492.56-0.0728.530.6-02.1.916345357-12
24Colorado411171142.852.780.0728.331.2-02.9.911394424-30
25NY Rangers401171032.932.580.3528.330.1-01.8.91436833038
26Tampa Bay4099952.482.380.1028.328.4-00.1.916353384-31
27Ottawa411131192.762.90-0.1528.033.3-05.3.913484497-13
28Florida41109872.662.120.5428.029.5-01.5.928386418-32
29Arizona401121242.803.10-0.3027.131.0-03.9.90042839236
30New Jersey4192932.242.27-0.0224.828.3-03.5.92041439222


_____________________

Shots Allowed / per game

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/scoring/sort/avgShotsAgainst/order/false

RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
1Carolina41941132.292.76-0.4629.726.003.7.894256329-73
2Nashville401021052.552.63-0.0831.326.704.6.902422424-2
3Anaheim3972921.852.36-0.5129.827.502.3.91450140299
4Montreal421191032.832.450.3831.127.603.5.911370392-22
5San Jose381011082.662.84-0.1830.328.202.1.899370404-34
6New Jersey4192932.242.27-0.0224.828.3-03.5.92041439222
7Tampa Bay4099952.482.380.1028.328.4-00.1.916353384-31
8Los Angeles40105872.632.180.4532.428.603.8.92442836959
9Washington40126853.152.131.0330.528.601.9.9263453441
10St. Louis431041062.422.47-0.0530.729.001.7.91541537441
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
11Boston381161043.052.740.3231.129.102.0.90650344261
12Minnesota40108952.702.380.3329.029.2-00.2.919283361-78
Buffalo40911072.282.68-0.4029.929.200.7.908263332-69
14Dallas431461123.402.600.7932.229.203.0.911389390-1
15Calgary401041232.603.08-0.4828.929.2-00.4.895310368-58
16Florida41109872.662.120.5428.029.5-01.5.928386418-32
17Chicago421161002.762.380.3830.929.601.3.920300344-44
18NY Rangers401171032.932.580.3528.330.1-01.8.91436833038
19Winnipeg411091152.662.80-0.1529.230.2-00.9.90749744552
20Columbus411031302.513.17-0.6628.930.5-01.7.89654449351
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
21NY Islanders411111012.712.460.2429.930.6-00.7.919347358-11
22Vancouver41971132.372.76-0.3929.230.6-01.4.9104704655
23Detroit411021052.492.56-0.0728.530.6-02.1.916345357-12
24Arizona401121242.803.10-0.3027.131.0-03.9.90042839236
25Toronto391001012.562.59-0.0331.131.2-00.1.9173213138
26Colorado411171142.852.780.0728.331.2-02.9.911394424-30
27Edmonton41991222.412.98-0.5629.331.5-02.2.905309315-6
28Pittsburgh4093962.332.40-0.0832.031.700.3.924337364-27
29Philadelphia39861052.212.69-0.4930.232.4-02.2.91749442470
30Ottawa411131192.762.90-0.1528.033.3-05.3.913484497-13

_____________________

SHOT  DIFFERENTIAL
Shots - Shots Allowed = Shot Differential




































_____________________

Save Percentage = Goals Allowed / Shots Allowed


RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
1Florida41109872.662.120.5428.029.5-01.5.928386418-32
2Washington40126853.152.131.0330.528.601.9.9263453441
3Los Angeles40105872.632.180.4532.428.603.8.92442836959
Pittsburgh4093962.332.40-0.0832.031.700.3.924337364-27
5New Jersey4192932.242.27-0.0224.828.3-03.5.92041439222
Chicago421161002.762.380.3830.929.601.3.920300344-44
7Minnesota40108952.702.380.3329.029.2-00.2.919283361-78
NY Islanders411111012.712.460.2429.930.6-00.7.919347358-11
9Toronto391001012.562.59-0.0331.131.2-00.1.9173213138
Philadelphia39861052.212.69-0.4930.232.4-02.2.91749442470
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
11Tampa Bay4099952.482.380.1028.328.4-00.1.916353384-31
Detroit411021052.492.56-0.0728.530.6-02.1.916345357-12
13St. Louis431041062.422.47-0.0530.729.001.7.91541537441
14Anaheim3972921.852.36-0.5129.827.502.3.91450140299
NY Rangers401171032.932.580.3528.330.1-01.8.91436833038
16Ottawa411131192.762.90-0.1528.033.3-05.3.913484497-13
17Montreal421191032.832.450.3831.127.603.5.911370392-22
Dallas431461123.402.600.7932.229.203.0.911389390-1
Colorado411171142.852.780.0728.331.2-02.9.911394424-30
20Vancouver41971132.372.76-0.3929.230.6-01.4.9104704655
RKTEAMGPGGAGF/GGA/GDIFFSF/GSA/GDIFFSVPCTPIMPIMADIFF
21Buffalo40911072.282.68-0.4029.929.200.7.908263332-69
22Winnipeg411091152.662.80-0.1529.230.2-00.9.90749744552
23Boston381161043.052.740.3231.129.102.0.90650344261
24Edmonton41991222.412.98-0.5629.331.5-02.2.905309315-6
25Nashville401021052.552.63-0.0831.326.704.6.902422424-2
26Arizona401121242.803.10-0.3027.131.0-03.9.90042839236
27San Jose381011082.662.84-0.1830.328.202.1.899370404-34
28Columbus411031302.513.17-0.6628.930.5-01.7.89654449351
29Calgary401041232.603.08-0.4828.929.2-00.4.895310368-58
30Carolina41941132.292.76-0.4629.726.003.7.894256329-73

_____________________

Shooting Percentage = Goals Scored / Shots





































_____________________

PPG = Power Play Goals Scored
RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
1Boston383110928.412413482.16
Washington403112225.411811684.52
3Dallas433013622.152412681.06
Colorado413014121.352713279.53
5Chicago422912822.722211881.44
6San Jose382712721.322211881.42
7St. Louis432611722.232013785.41
Buffalo402612920.21229677.11
Nashville402613219.712811876.34
New Jersey412613519.362212982.94
RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
Tampa Bay402613619.122411879.72
Montreal422614018.642113884.88
Arizona402614817.683114378.30
14Pittsburgh402513418.712013184.73
15Ottawa412412718.923213977.08
Florida412414316.822413382.02
17Los Angeles402311619.812714681.52
Toronto392312218.942412280.31
Columbus412312518.412814680.81
Detroit412312917.832713479.90
RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
Vancouver412313816.752913778.82
22NY Rangers402211419.332613380.51
Minnesota402212218.02209779.43
24NY Islanders412111418.451712085.84
25Anaheim392010219.621513889.12
Carolina412012316.32209779.41
Edmonton412012316.322412080.01
28Philadelphia391911516.532913478.43
Winnipeg411912814.823515477.37
30Calgary401612612.74259774.21


_____________________

Power Play Percentage

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/special-teams/sort/powerPlayPct

RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
1Boston383110928.412413482.16
2Washington403112225.411811684.52
3Chicago422912822.722211881.44
4St. Louis432611722.232013785.41
5Dallas433013622.152412681.06
6Colorado413014121.352713279.53
7San Jose382712721.322211881.42
8Buffalo402612920.21229677.11
9Los Angeles402311619.812714681.52
10Nashville402613219.712811876.34
RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
11Anaheim392010219.621513889.12
12NY Rangers402211419.332613380.51
13New Jersey412613519.362212982.94
14Tampa Bay402613619.122411879.72
15Ottawa412412718.923213977.08
16Toronto392312218.942412280.31
17Pittsburgh402513418.712013184.73
18Montreal422614018.642113884.88
19NY Islanders412111418.451712085.84
20Columbus412312518.412814680.81
RKTEAMGPPPGPPOPCTSHGAPPGATSHPCTSHG
21Minnesota402212218.02209779.43
22Detroit412312917.832713479.90
23Arizona402614817.683114378.30
24Florida412414316.822413382.02
25Vancouver412313816.752913778.82
26Philadelphia391911516.532913478.43
27Carolina412012316.32209779.41
Edmonton412012316.322412080.01
29Winnipeg411912814.823515477.37
30Calgary401612612.74259774.21


_____________________

Penalty Kill (PK)

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/special-teams/sort/powerPlayGoalsAgainst/order/false

http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics/team/_/stat/special-teams/sort/penaltyKillPct



























_____________________

NHL Team Average Shot Percentage in 2015‑16 Season

http://www.quanthockey.com/TS/TS_ShotPercentage.php







_____________________


http://espn.go.com/nhl/statistics

http://espn.go.com/nhl/standings

http://espn.go.com/nhl/standings/_/sort/roadWinPercent/group/1

http://www.nhl.com/stats/?navid=nav-sts-main#

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/injuries/nhl/all/

http://www.rotoworld.com/sports/nhl/hockey